Round-up predictions from NFL experts on Patriots' 2024 regular season record (2024)

May 11, 2024; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) takes a snap from guard/tackle Joey Ramos (52) at the New England Patriots rookie camp at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 5.3 wins

NFL.com’s Cynthia Freelund said, “This is also a rosy outlook, 5.3 wins. Yes, it is last in the AFC East, but it’s more than some people expect them to win.

“I do think that Drake Maye gives them an extra edge, and even though they were a little confusing in terms of the passing game last year. They were ranked last in that, according to Next Gen Stats, I think they start to do the turn around right now.”

Sep 10, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez (6) prepares for a game against the Philadelphia Eagles during the warm-up period at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 9-8

Pro Football Network’s Dakota Randall wrote:

We think their defense will give them a high floor and keep them competitive in a top-heavy AFC. They could surprise some people if they can receive adequate quarterback play and offensive coaching.

Dec 24, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; New England Patriots defensive tackle Christian Barmore (90) reacts after a play ]in the third quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 5-12

CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan has the Patriots finishing the season with a 5-12 record after starting 0-6.

Nov 23, 2023; Arlington, Texas, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jacoby Brissett (12) warms up before the game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Commanders at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 3-14

FOX Sports’ Henry McKenna wrote:

There are more than three winnable games on the Patriots’ schedule. I’ve circled the Colts, the Chargers, the Bears and the Titans as beatable for New England. But a part of me thinks this will be a really tough year for New England, especially if it decides to keep first-round pick Drake Maye on the bench whileJacoby Brissettacts as a steward on offense. The Patriots are going to suffer a lot of tough losses and may even finish 0-6 in the division. The defense is good — but Bill Belichick is gone. The offense looks too similar to the one from last year that ended up being abominable. It’s tough to get optimistic about this team.

Nov 20, 2022; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots linebacker Matthew Judon (9) reacts after a sack against the New York Jets during the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 4-13

Bleacher Report’s Maurice Moton wrote:

Under Belichick, the Patriots played well defensively. That may not change with his protege, Mayo, who’s coached the team’s linebackers for the past five years.

But with a rookie quarterback under center and no established pecking order among the pass-catchers, the Patriots may struggle to establish an offensive rhythm. That will likely result in plenty of losses.

May 11, 2024; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo holds a press conference before practice at the New England Patriots rookie camp at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 5-12

33rd Team’s Marcus Mosher wrote:

This will be the first season for theNew England Patriotswithout Bill Belichick on the sideline since 1999. With Jerod Mayo as the coach, the Patriots will look much different this year.

Expect this season to be rough, especially on offense where New England will have a rookie quarterback and a less-than-stellar offensive line. In the highly competitive AFC, the Patriots could finish with the conference’s worst record.

May 11, 2024; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) throws a pass at the New England Patriots rookie camp at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 7-10

Patriots Wire’s Jordy McElroy wrote:

A 7-10 finish to the season would be a remarkable achievement from a Patriots team that finished 4-13 last year and underwent major changes in the offseason.

It’s going to take Drake Maye and the offense time to get up to speed. Winning more games and generating a little positive momentum would be huge for the overall confidence of the team.

They’re on the right track with the rebuild. They just need more time under the hood.

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA – SEPTEMBER 02: Drake Maye #10 of the North Carolina Tar Heels warms up before their game against the South Carolina Gameco*cks at Bank of America Stadium on September 02, 2023 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

Projection: 4-13

Sports Illustrated’s Matt Verderame wrote:

This is a relaunch for the Patriots, who have a new coach, general manager and quarterback. If New England wins only a few games but Drake Maye looks like a star, that’s success. Looking at the schedule, the Patriots will need to be tough at home and maybe steal a few on the road.

Dec 3, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson (38) rushes against the Los Angeles Chargers during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Projection: 6-11

Sporting News’ Mike Masala has the Patriots losing seven straight games and coming alive late for a 6-11 overall record.